Coritiba 3-2 Fluminense
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: Andrey 8.3 · PH Ganso 8.3 · Léo Gamalho 7.9
Match analysis
5 sections04:521 May 2022: the Serie A matchday 4 match ended Coritiba 3-2 Fluminense.
Read more ›Close
Result and story of the match
It was 0-2 at half-time. Coritiba came from behind in the second half to win. Fluminense scored first, in the 19th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 19' Ganso, assisted by Nonato → 0-1; 36' Ganso, assisted by Luiz Henrique → 0-2; 53' Léo Gamalho (penalty) → 1-2; 61' Andrey → 2-2; 90+5' Léo Gamalho, assisted by Fabrício Daniel → 3-2.
André (Fluminense) was sent off in the 51st minute; VAR intervened 1 time; yellow cards: Coritiba 0, Fluminense 4.
Statistical comparison
Shots 20-7 (8-4 on target); possession 55%-45%; corners 8-1; pass accuracy 89%-81%.
Goals by half: 0-2 in the first, 3-0 in the second.
Standout players
Andrey was Coritiba's highest-rated player at 8.3 in 89 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, 2 tackles, won 7 of 12 duels.
PH Ganso was Fluminense's highest-rated player at 8.3 in 66 minutes: 2 goals, 2 shots on target, 1 key pass, 2 tackles, won 4 of 5 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Coritiba beat Fluminense 3-2 in the Serie A matchday 4 on 1 May 2022. Goals: Ganso 19', Ganso 36', Léo Gamalho 53' (pen), Andrey 61', Léo Gamalho 90+5'. Match stats: possession Coritiba 55%, Fluminense 45%; shots on target 8-4.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.