Coritiba 1-1 Fluminense
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: C. Kazim-Richards 7.8 · Gustavo Scarpa 7.7 · Lucas Pierre Santos Oliveira 7.6
Match analysis
5 sections14:5423 October 2016: the Serie A matchday 32 match ended Coritiba 1-1 Fluminense.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-1 at half-time. Coritiba levelled after the break. Fluminense scored first, in the 15th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 15' Gum, assisted by Gustavo Scarpa → 0-1; 64' Leandro, assisted by C. Kazim-Richards → 1-1.
Kléber (Coritiba) was sent off in the 42nd minute; yellow cards: Coritiba 0, Fluminense 4.
Statistical comparison
Shots 17-14 (2-3 on target); possession 51%-49%; corners 2-2; pass accuracy 83%-84%.
Goals by half: 0-1 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
C. Kazim-Richards was Coritiba's highest-rated player at 7.8 in 90 minutes: 1 assist, 3 key passes, won 10 of 14 duels.
Gustavo Scarpa was Fluminense's highest-rated player at 7.7 in 90 minutes: 1 assist, 5 key passes, won 3 of 9 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Coritiba vs Fluminense (Serie A matchday 32, 23 October 2016) finished 1-1. Goals: Gum 15', Leandro 64'. Match stats: possession Coritiba 51%, Fluminense 49%; shots on target 2-3.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.