Como 3-1 Cagliari
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: Gabriel Strefezza 7.9 · N. Paz 7.9 · M. Caqueret 7.7
Match analysis
5 sections17:50Como beat Cagliari 3-1 in the Serie A matchday 36 on 10 May 2025.
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Result and story of the match
It was 2-1 at half-time. Cagliari scored first, in the 22nd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 22' M. Adopo, assisted by N. Zortea → 0-1; 40' M. Caqueret, assisted by M. Perrone → 1-1; 45+2' Gabriel Strefezza, assisted by N. Paz → 2-1; 77' P. Cutrone, assisted by N. Paz → 3-1.
VAR intervened 2 times; yellow cards: Como 1, Cagliari 3.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Como 2.02, Cagliari 0.81; shots 19-9 (5-3 on target); possession 62%-38%; corners 5-1; pass accuracy 88%-82%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 1.21.
Goals by half: 2-1 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
Gabriel Strefezza was Como's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, 4 tackles, won 6 of 10 duels.
J. Palomino was Cagliari's highest-rated player at 7.3 in 90 minutes: 4 tackles, won 5 of 8 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Como vs Cagliari (Serie A matchday 36, 10 May 2025) finished 3-1. Goals: M. Adopo 22', M. Caqueret 40', Gabriel Strefezza 45+2', P. Cutrone 77'. Match stats: possession Como 62%, Cagliari 38%; shots on target 5-3; expected goals (xG) 2.02-0.81.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.