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Cham 2-1 Brühl

1. Liga Promotion · Matchweek 8
Cham
21
Full-timeHT 1-0
Brühl
2'Wiskemann68'Hegglin
Bahtiyari54'
Sat 19 Sept 2026, 17:00

Model accuracy

Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track record

There was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.

The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?

Highlight 1
2+ goals
82%
Clearleague base 84%calibrated
retrospective hit
Highlight 2
Both teams score: yes
61%±4
Notableleague base 63%calibrated
retrospective hit
No third clear market here; weak estimates are not added.
Match result · CHA 38% · X 23% · BRU 39%Predicted score 2-3 · Most likely: 1-1 10% · 2-1 8% · 1-2 8%All markets ›

Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.

All match events

3All ›
Kick-off · 17:00
2'
M. WiskemannGoal1-0
Half-time 1-0
54'
1-1M. BahtiyariGoal
68'
I. HegglinGoal2-1
Full time 2-1

Match stats

No stats yet.

Starting XIs

Line-ups ›
Cham
Coach Pascal NussbaumerBench 0
Brühl
Coach D. SondereggerBench 0
Your predictionFull time 2-1
CHA
–
BRU
–
Model: 2-3 (4%)
No prediction · Locked 17:00

Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.

Match analysis

5 sections13:35

19 September 2026: the 1. Liga Promotion matchday 8 match ended Cham 2-1 Brühl.

Read more ›Close

Result and story of the match

It was 1-0 at half-time. Cham scored first, in the 2nd minute.

Goals and key moments

Goals: 2' M. Wiskemann → 1-0; 54' M. Bahtiyari → 1-1; 68' I. Hegglin → 2-1.

Statistical comparison

Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 1-1 in the second.

Standout players

Goal scorers: M. Wiskemann, M. Bahtiyari, I. Hegglin.

How the model did

There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.

Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Cham 38%, draw 23%, Brühl 39%.

Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.

Match summary

Cham vs Brühl (1. Liga Promotion matchday 8, 19 September 2026) finished 2-1. Goals: M. Wiskemann 2', M. Bahtiyari 54', I. Hegglin 68'.

Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record

Related matches

Cham · next match
Brühl · next match