Cham 2-1 Breitenrain
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Line-ups and absences
usually −60 minMatch analysis
5 sections12:051 August 2026: the 1. Liga Promotion matchday 1 match ended Cham 2-1 Breitenrain.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-1 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Breitenrain scored first, in the 18th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 18' L. Luthi → 0-1; 31' F. Kamberi → 1-1; 86' E. Tia → 2-1.
Statistical comparison
Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: L. Luthi, F. Kamberi, E. Tia.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Cham 47%, draw 23%, Breitenrain 30%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
1 August 2026: the 1. Liga Promotion matchday 1 match ended Cham 2-1 Breitenrain. Goals: L. Luthi 18', F. Kamberi 31', E. Tia 86'.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.