Čelik 3-0 Velež
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Starting XIs
Line-ups ›Match analysis
5 sections08:2528 August 2026: the Premijer Liga matchday 4 match ended Čelik 3-0 Velež.
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Result and story of the match
It was 2-0 at half-time. Čelik scored first, in the 28th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 28' A. Masic → 1-0; 43' A. Masic → 2-0; 63' A. Masic → 3-0.
M. Popovic (Čelik) was sent off in the 90th minute; yellow cards: Čelik 3, Velež 2.
Statistical comparison
Goals by half: 2-0 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: A. Masic.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Čelik 25%, draw 29%, Velež 47%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Čelik vs Velež (Premijer Liga matchday 4, 28 August 2026) finished 3-0. Goals: A. Masic 28', A. Masic 43', A. Masic 63'.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.