Ceara 2-0 Fluminense
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: Willian Machado 7.9 · Bruno Ferreira 7.6 · A. Galeano 7.6
Match analysis
5 sections08:54Ceara beat Fluminense 2-0 in the Serie A matchday 31 on 2 November 2025.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Ceara scored first, in the 38th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 38' A. Galeano → 1-0; 72' Pedro Raul, assisted by Vina → 2-0.
Ignácio (Fluminense) was sent off in the 59th minute; VAR intervened 2 times; yellow cards: Ceara 3, Fluminense 0.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Ceara 1.12, Fluminense 0.29; shots 14-4 (5-3 on target); possession 44%-56%; corners 4-5; pass accuracy 86%-89%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 0.83.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
Willian Machado was Ceara's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 1 key pass, 5 tackles, won 9 of 9 duels.
A. Canobbio was Fluminense's highest-rated player at 7.2 in 90 minutes: 2 shots on target, won 9 of 13 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Ceara vs Fluminense (Serie A matchday 31, 2 November 2025) finished 2-0. Goals: A. Galeano 38', Pedro Raul 72'. Match stats: possession Ceara 44%, Fluminense 56%; shots on target 5-3; expected goals (xG) 1.12-0.29.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.