Catania 1-2 Scafatese
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Starting XIs
Line-ups ›Match analysis
5 sections13:4612 September 2026: the Serie C - Girone C match ended Catania 1-2 Scafatese.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-1 at half-time. Scafatese scored first, in the 17th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 17' M. Emmausso (penalty) → 0-1; 54' F. Russo, assisted by G. Bruzzaniti → 1-1; 90' M. Toscano, assisted by R. Convitto → 1-2.
M. Emmausso (Scafatese) was sent off in the 90th minute; yellow cards: Catania 3, Scafatese 4.
Statistical comparison
Goals by half: 0-1 in the first, 1-1 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: M. Emmausso, F. Russo, M. Toscano.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Catania 63%, draw 21%, Scafatese 16%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
12 September 2026: the Serie C - Girone C match ended Catania 1-2 Scafatese. Goals: M. Emmausso 17' (pen), F. Russo 54', M. Toscano 90'.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.