Cambuur 4-0 MVV
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: M. Diemers 9.0 · O. Sjöstrand 8.6 · I. Ferrah 8.5
Match analysis
5 sections21:03Cambuur beat MVV 4-0 in the Eerste Divisie matchday 21 on 19 December 2025.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Cambuur scored first, in the 11th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 11' O. Sjostrand, assisted by I. Ferrah → 1-0; 61' I. Baouf → 2-0; 71' T. Rolke, assisted by R. Balk → 3-0; 78' I. Henstra, assisted by N. Binder → 4-0.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Cambuur 3.24, MVV 0.57; shots 22-9 (11-3 on target); possession 62%-38%; corners 10-3; pass accuracy 88%-80%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 2.67.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 3-0 in the second.
Standout players
M. Diemers was Cambuur's highest-rated player at 9.0 in 90 minutes: 5 key passes, 2 tackles, won 10 of 13 duels.
A. Zaian was MVV's highest-rated player at 7.5 in 90 minutes: 5 tackles, won 6 of 9 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Cambuur beat MVV 4-0 in the Eerste Divisie matchday 21 on 19 December 2025. Goals: O. Sjostrand 11', I. Baouf 61', T. Rolke 71', I. Henstra 78'. Match stats: possession Cambuur 62%, MVV 38%; shots on target 11-3; expected goals (xG) 3.24-0.57.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.