Caen 3-3 Dijon
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: Júlio Tavares 7.9 · J. Féret 7.8 · I. Santini 7.8
Match analysis
5 sections07:382 December 2016: the Ligue 1 matchday 16 match ended Caen 3-3 Dijon.
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Result and story of the match
It was 3-1 at half-time. Dijon levelled after the break. Caen scored first, in the 24th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 24' I. Santini, assisted by Y. Karamoh → 1-0; 26' P. Lees Melou, assisted by Júlio Tavares → 1-1; 37' I. Santini, assisted by R. Rodelin → 2-1; 43' Y. Karamoh, assisted by J. Delaplace → 3-1; 59' L. Diony, assisted by Júlio Tavares → 3-2; 81' A. Yahia (own goal) → 4-2.
Arnold Bouka Moutou (Dijon) was sent off in the 31st minute; yellow cards: Caen 4, Dijon 4.
Statistical comparison
Shots 18-13 (9-4 on target); possession 53%-47%; corners 6-1; pass accuracy 78%-71%.
Goals by half: 3-1 in the first, 0-2 in the second.
Standout players
I. Santini was Caen's highest-rated player at 7.8 in 80 minutes: 2 goals, 4 shots on target, won 4 of 14 duels.
Júlio Tavares was Dijon's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 2 assists, 1 shot on target, 2 key passes, won 17 of 32 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Caen vs Dijon (Ligue 1 matchday 16, 2 December 2016) finished 3-3. Goals: I. Santini 24', P. Lees Melou 26', I. Santini 37', Y. Karamoh 43', L. Diony 59', A. Yahia 81' (o.g.). Match stats: possession Caen 53%, Dijon 47%; shots on target 9-4.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.