Burnley 5-1 Millwall
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: J. Bruun Larsen 8.6 · J. Anthony 8.3 · M. Weiß 8.2
Match analysis
5 sections12:0010 January 2026: the FA Cup match ended Burnley 5-1 Millwall.
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Result and story of the match
It was 3-0 at half-time. Burnley scored first, in the 11th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 11' A. Barnes, assisted by J. Bruun Larsen → 1-0; 35' L. Tchaouna, assisted by H. Ekdal → 2-0; 44' J. Anthony, assisted by J. Bruun Larsen → 3-0; 65' A. Barnes → 4-0; 89' J. Banel → 5-0; 90' J. Coburn, assisted by R. Lamptey → 5-1.
Yellow cards: Burnley 3, Millwall 1.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Burnley 2.21, Millwall 0.96; shots 16-12 (7-7 on target); possession 67%-33%; corners 4-4; pass accuracy 90%-77%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 1.25.
Goals by half: 3-0 in the first, 2-1 in the second.
Standout players
J. Bruun Larsen was Burnley's highest-rated player at 8.6 in 78 minutes: 2 assists, 1 shot on target, 4 key passes, 1 tackle, won 5 of 9 duels.
J. Coburn was Millwall's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 29 minutes: 1 goal, 2 shots on target, 1 tackle, won 4 of 8 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Burnley beat Millwall 5-1 in the FA Cup on 10 January 2026. Goals: A. Barnes 11', L. Tchaouna 35', J. Anthony 44', A. Barnes 65', J. Banel 89', J. Coburn 90'. Match stats: possession Burnley 67%, Millwall 33%; shots on target 7-7; expected goals (xG) 2.21-0.96.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


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