Botev Vratsa 1-1 CSKA Sofia
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: Adrián Lapeña 7.9 · T. Vion 7.9 · S. Shopov 7.9
Match analysis
5 sections12:115 April 2025: the First League matchday 28 match ended Botev Vratsa 1-1 CSKA Sofia.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. CSKA Sofia levelled after the break. Botev Vratsa scored first, in the 37th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 37' B. Traorè → 1-0; 90+2' M. Phaëton → 1-1.
Yellow cards: Botev Vratsa 3, CSKA Sofia 3.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Botev Vratsa 0.35, CSKA Sofia 1.02; shots 3-17 (1-4 on target); possession 33%-67%; corners 0-10; pass accuracy 62%-84%.
CSKA Sofia created the better chances, but the scoreline did not reflect it.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 0-1 in the second.
Standout players
S. Diabaté was Botev Vratsa's highest-rated player at 7.3 in 90 minutes: won 6 of 7 duels.
Adrián Lapeña was CSKA Sofia's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 1 key pass, 1 tackle, won 7 of 13 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Botev Vratsa vs CSKA Sofia (First League matchday 28, 5 April 2025) finished 1-1. Goals: B. Traorè 37', M. Phaëton 90+2'. Match stats: possession Botev Vratsa 33%, CSKA Sofia 67%; shots on target 1-4; expected goals (xG) 0.35-1.02.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.