Botev Plovdiv 1-2 CSKA Sofia
First League · Matchweek 10Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: I. Popov 7.7 · J. Lindseth 7.7 · M. Phaëton 7.7
Match analysis
5 sections12:2222 September 2023: the First League matchday 10 match ended Botev Plovdiv 1-2 CSKA Sofia.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-1 at half-time. CSKA Sofia scored first, in the 21st minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 21' J. Lindseth → 0-1; 67' D. Nazon (penalty) → 0-2; 79' K. Balogiannis → 1-2.
Yellow cards: Botev Plovdiv 3, CSKA Sofia 4.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Botev Plovdiv 0.73, CSKA Sofia 1.65; shots 8-10 (4-5 on target); possession 58%-42%; corners 5-1; pass accuracy 80%-75%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 0.92.
Goals by half: 0-1 in the first, 1-1 in the second.
Standout players
I. Popov was Botev Plovdiv's highest-rated player at 7.7 in 90 minutes: 1 assist, 3 key passes, 1 tackle, won 4 of 11 duels.
J. Lindseth was CSKA Sofia's highest-rated player at 7.7 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 2 key passes, 1 tackle, won 4 of 18 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
22 September 2023: the First League matchday 10 match ended Botev Plovdiv 1-2 CSKA Sofia. Goals: J. Lindseth 21', D. Nazon 67' (pen), K. Balogiannis 79'. Match stats: possession Botev Plovdiv 58%, CSKA Sofia 42%; shots on target 4-5; expected goals (xG) 0.73-1.65.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.