Botafogo 1-1 Fluminense
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Standouts: Ignacio 8.6 · Álvaro Montoro 8.5 · Alex Telles 7.3
Match analysis
5 sections22:019 August 2026: the Serie A matchday 22 match ended Botafogo 1-1 Fluminense.
Read more ›Close
Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Fluminense levelled after the break. Botafogo scored first, in the 44th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 44' Alex Telles → 1-0; 58' Ignacio, assisted by K. Serna → 1-1.
Yellow cards: Botafogo 4, Fluminense 3.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Botafogo 1.22, Fluminense 0.94; shots 20-14 (7-4 on target); possession 41%-59%; corners 7-7; pass accuracy 84%-87%.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 0-1 in the second.
Standout players
Álvaro Montoro was Botafogo's highest-rated player at 8.5 in 85 minutes: 2 key passes, 2 tackles, won 7 of 9 duels.
Ignacio was Fluminense's highest-rated player at 8.6 in 99 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 5 tackles, won 9 of 12 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Botafogo 52%, draw 25%, Fluminense 22%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
9 August 2026: the Serie A matchday 22 match ended Botafogo 1-1 Fluminense. Goals: Alex Telles 44', Ignacio 58'. Match stats: possession Botafogo 41%, Fluminense 59%; shots on target 7-4; expected goals (xG) 1.22-0.94.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.