Botafogo 1-0 Fluminense
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: D. Suárez 7.9 · Bartolomeu Jacinto Quissanga 7.7 · Fábio 7.7
Match analysis
5 sections00:25Botafogo beat Fluminense 1-0 in the Serie A matchday 8 on 11 June 2024.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Botafogo scored first, in the 66th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 66' Bastos, assisted by D. Suárez → 1-0.
Yellow cards: Botafogo 3, Fluminense 3.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Botafogo 1.75, Fluminense 0.22; shots 19-6 (6-0 on target); possession 44%-56%; corners 14-2; pass accuracy 77%-84%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 1.53.
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
D. Suárez was Botafogo's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 1 assist, 4 key passes, 4 tackles, won 4 of 9 duels.
Fábio was Fluminense's highest-rated player at 7.7 in 90 minutes: 5 saves.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
11 June 2024: the Serie A matchday 8 match ended Botafogo 1-0 Fluminense. Goals: Bastos 66'. Match stats: possession Botafogo 44%, Fluminense 56%; shots on target 6-0; expected goals (xG) 1.75-0.22.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.