Botafogo 1-0 Fluminense
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: Tiquinho Soares 7.9 · Fábio 7.9 · V. Cuesta 7.7
Match analysis
5 sections14:5520 May 2023: the Serie A matchday 7 match ended Botafogo 1-0 Fluminense.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Botafogo scored first, in the 74th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 74' V. Cuesta, assisted by Tiquinho Soares → 1-0.
Yellow cards: Botafogo 4, Fluminense 2.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Botafogo 1.66, Fluminense 0.93; shots 21-3 (7-0 on target); possession 34%-66%; corners 7-4; pass accuracy 79%-88%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 0.73.
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
Tiquinho Soares was Botafogo's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 100 minutes: 1 assist, 4 key passes, won 12 of 22 duels.
Fábio was Fluminense's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 100 minutes: 6 saves, won 1 of 1 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
20 May 2023: the Serie A matchday 7 match ended Botafogo 1-0 Fluminense. Goals: V. Cuesta 74'. Match stats: possession Botafogo 34%, Fluminense 66%; shots on target 7-0; expected goals (xG) 1.66-0.93.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.