Boston River 1-0 Defensor Sporting
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Match analysis
5 sections10:24Boston River beat Defensor Sporting 1-0 in the Primera División on 17 October 2026.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Boston River scored first, in the 16th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 16' lautaro vazquez → 1-0.
Yellow cards: Boston River 7, Defensor Sporting 1.
Statistical comparison
Shots 8-4 (4-2 on target); possession 46%-54%; corners 1-2.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 0-0 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: lautaro vazquez.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Boston River 35%, draw 30%, Defensor Sporting 35%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Boston River vs Defensor Sporting (Primera División, 17 October 2026) finished 1-0. Goals: lautaro vazquez 16'. Match stats: possession Boston River 46%, Defensor Sporting 54%; shots on target 4-2.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.