Bologna 1-3 Inter
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Standouts: M. Akanji 8.9 · P. Zieliński 7.9 · M. Thuram 7.9
Match analysis
5 sections12:50Bologna lost to Inter 1-3 in the Serie A matchday 7 on 17 October 2026.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-1 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Bologna scored first, in the 10th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 10' T. Pobega, assisted by J. Miranda → 1-0; 44' M. Thuram, assisted by N. Barella → 1-1; 69' Carlos Augusto, assisted by P. Zielinski → 1-2; 83' A. Bonny, assisted by Carlos Augusto → 1-3.
Yellow cards: Bologna 4, Inter 3.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Bologna 1.00, Inter 3.16; shots 11-17 (4-8 on target); possession 35%-65%; corners 2-6; pass accuracy 82%-91%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 2.16.
Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 0-2 in the second.
Standout players
T. Pobega was Bologna's highest-rated player at 7.6 in 76 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 3 key passes, 3 tackles, won 6 of 8 duels.
M. Akanji was Inter's highest-rated player at 8.9 in 90 minutes: 2 key passes, 4 tackles, won 9 of 10 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Bologna 20%, draw 22%, Inter 58%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Bologna lost to Inter 1-3 in the Serie A matchday 7 on 17 October 2026. Goals: T. Pobega 10', M. Thuram 44', Carlos Augusto 69', A. Bonny 83'. Match stats: possession Bologna 35%, Inter 65%; shots on target 4-8; expected goals (xG) 1.00-3.16.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.