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BK Hacken 3-2 Malmo FF

Allsvenskan · Matchweek 7
BK Hacken
32
Full-timeHT 3-2
Malmo FF
4'Lindgren20'Stryger (OG)37'Lindgren
Busanello24'Botheim39'
Referee Adam LadebackSun 10 May 2026, 17:30

Model accuracy

Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track record

There was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.

The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?

Highlight 1
2+ goals
81%
Clearleague base 78%calibrated
retrospective hit
Highlight 2
Both teams score: yes
60%±4
Notableleague base 53%calibrated
retrospective hit
No third clear market here; weak estimates are not added.
Match result · HAC 37% · X 24% · MAL 39%Predicted score 2-3 · Most likely: 1-1 10% · 1-2 9% · 2-1 8%All markets ›

Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.

All match events

18All ›
Kick-off · 17:30
4'
G. LindgrenAssist A. Svanback1-0
20'
J. StrygerOwn goal2-0
24'
2-1BusanelloAssist O. Rosengren
35'
Mikkel RygaardYellow card
37'
G. LindgrenAssist A. Lundkvist3-1
39'
3-2E. BotheimAssist S. Haksabanovic
45+1'
Adrian SvanbackYellow card
Half-time 3-2
63'
J. LindbergOn · A. Svanback off
64'
D. T. GudjohnsenOn · O. Sjostrand off
64'
T. LundberghOn · K. Busuladzic off
71'
Julius LindbergYellow card
74'
Otto RosengrenYellow card
75'
E. EkongOn · A. Skogmar off
77'
J. AgbonifoOn · M. Rygaard off
86'
S. VecchiaOn · Busanello off
86'
J. KarlssonOn · J. Stryger off
89'
J. HammarOn · A. Layouni off
90'
P. DahboOn · G. Lindgren off
Full time 3-2

Match stats

BK Hacken
Malmo FF
2.37
xG
1.42
15
Shots
17
7
On target
6
12
Shots in box
11
%40
Possession
%60
4
Corners
5
14
Fouls
10
4
Saves
4

Starting XIs

4-4-2 · 4-1-4-1Line-ups ›
BK Hacken
4-4-2
Coach Jens GustafssonBench 9
Malmo FF
4-1-4-1
Coach Miguel RamirezBench 9

Standouts: A. Doumbia 8.2 · G. Lindgren 8.2 · C. Rösler 8.2

Your predictionFull time 3-2
HAC
–
MAL
–
Model: 2-3 (4%)
No prediction · Locked 17:30

Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.

Match analysis

5 sections01:09

10 May 2026: the Allsvenskan matchday 7 match ended BK Hacken 3-2 Malmo FF.

Read more ›Close

Result and story of the match

It was 3-2 at half-time. BK Hacken scored first, in the 4th minute.

Goals and key moments

Goals: 4' G. Lindgren, assisted by A. Svanback → 1-0; 20' J. Stryger (own goal) → 1-1; 24' Busanello, assisted by O. Rosengren → 1-2; 37' G. Lindgren, assisted by A. Lundkvist → 2-2; 39' E. Botheim, assisted by S. Haksabanovic → 2-3.

Yellow cards: BK Hacken 3, Malmo FF 1.

Statistical comparison

Expected goals (xG) BK Hacken 2.37, Malmo FF 1.42; shots 15-17 (7-6 on target); possession 40%-60%; corners 4-5; pass accuracy 84%-87%.

Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 0.95.

Goals by half: 3-2 in the first, 0-0 in the second.

Standout players

G. Lindgren was BK Hacken's highest-rated player at 8.2 in 89 minutes: 2 goals, 2 shots on target, 1 tackle, won 3 of 6 duels.

C. Rösler was Malmo FF's highest-rated player at 8.2 in 90 minutes: 1 shot on target, won 2 of 3 duels.

How the model did

There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.

Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): BK Hacken 37%, draw 24%, Malmo FF 39%.

Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.

Match summary

BK Hacken vs Malmo FF (Allsvenskan matchday 7, 10 May 2026) finished 3-2. Goals: G. Lindgren 4', J. Stryger 20' (o.g.), Busanello 24', G. Lindgren 37', E. Botheim 39'. Match stats: possession BK Hacken 40%, Malmo FF 60%; shots on target 7-6; expected goals (xG) 2.37-1.42.

Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record

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