BIT 2-1 Shanghai Second
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Starting XIs
Line-ups ›Match analysis
5 sections07:098 August 2026: the League Two matchday 20 match ended BIT 2-1 Shanghai Second.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-1 at half-time. BIT came from behind in the second half to win. Shanghai Second scored first, in the 18th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 18' Qi Long, assisted by Xiang Ruoke → 0-1; 75' Z. Wang, assisted by M. Longjian → 1-1; 87' Hu Jiaqi → 2-1.
Li Xinyao (BIT) was sent off in the 71st minute; yellow cards: BIT 3, Shanghai Second 2.
Statistical comparison
Goals by half: 0-1 in the first, 2-0 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: Qi Long, Z. Wang, Hu Jiaqi.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): BIT 44%, draw 25%, Shanghai Second 31%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
BIT beat Shanghai Second 2-1 in the League Two matchday 20 on 8 August 2026. Goals: Qi Long 18', Z. Wang 75', Hu Jiaqi 87'.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.