Birmingham 2-1 Reading
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: G. Gardner 7.6 · Y. Meïté 7.6 · L. Camp 7.5
Match analysis
5 sections17:3023 October 2018: the Championship matchday 14 match ended Birmingham 2-1 Reading.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Birmingham scored first, in the 49th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 49' G. Gardner, assisted by M. Morrison → 1-0; 70' L. Jutkiewicz, assisted by Che Adams → 2-0; 90' Y. Meïté, assisted by A. Yiadom → 2-1.
Yellow cards: Birmingham 1, Reading 2.
Statistical comparison
Shots 14-11 (5-7 on target); possession 31%-69%; corners 7-8; pass accuracy 63%-82%.
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 2-1 in the second.
Standout players
G. Gardner was Birmingham's highest-rated player at 7.6 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, 2 tackles, won 6 of 9 duels.
Y. Meïté was Reading's highest-rated player at 7.6 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 3 shots on target, 1 tackle, won 3 of 11 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Birmingham vs Reading (Championship matchday 14, 23 October 2018) finished 2-1. Goals: G. Gardner 49', L. Jutkiewicz 70', Y. Meïté 90'. Match stats: possession Birmingham 31%, Reading 69%; shots on target 5-7.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.