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BFC Daugavpils 0-1 Auda

Virsliga · Matchweek 15
BFC Daugavpils
01
Full-timeHT 0-0
Auda
Daskevics82'
Stadions Celtnieks, DaugavpilsReferee V. MordatenkoTue 26 May 2026, 19:00capacity 4,070

Model accuracy

Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track record

There was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.

The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?

Highlight 1
2+ goals
77%
Clearleague base 77%calibrated
retrospective miss
Highlight 2
Both teams score: yes
55%±3
Notableleague base 52%calibrated
retrospective miss
Highlight 3
Auda win
47%±7
Notableleague base 35%calibrated
retrospective hit
Match result · BFC 28% · X 25% · AUD 47%Predicted score 1-2 · Most likely: 1-1 12% · 1-2 9% · 0-1 9%All markets ›

Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.

All match events

12All ›
Kick-off · 19:00
12'
H. IbrahimOn · Y. Traore off
Half-time 0-0
63'
W. FofanaOn · K. Kone off
64'
J. GeroldYellow card
72'
B. DiedhiouOn · E. Bongemba off
72'
A. ArroyoOn · T. Hrvoj off
73'
A. OgunjiOn · J. Gerold off
76'
H. IbrahimYellow card
82'
0-1E. DaskevicsAssist W. Fofana
85'
E. PinaskinsOn · M. Sylla off
87'
A. GarzhaYellow card
90'
A. TraoreYellow card
90+2'
E. IvanovsOn · R. Skrebels off
Full time 0-1

Match stats

BFC Daugavpils
Auda
10
Shots
13
2
On target
4
7
Shots in box
9
%42
Possession
%58
5
Corners
1
16
Fouls
15
3
Saves
1

Starting XIs

Line-ups ›
BFC Daugavpils
Coach Kirils KurbatovBench 9
Auda
Coach Didier ZanettiBench 9
Your predictionFull time 0-1
BFC
–
AUD
–
Model: 1-2 (9%)
No prediction · Locked 19:00

Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.

Match analysis

5 sections15:31

26 May 2026: the Virsliga matchday 15 match ended BFC Daugavpils 0-1 Auda.

Read more ›Close

Result and story of the match

It was 0-0 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Auda scored first, in the 82nd minute.

Goals and key moments

Goals: 82' E. Daskevics, assisted by W. Fofana → 0-1.

Yellow cards: BFC Daugavpils 2, Auda 2.

Statistical comparison

Shots 10-13 (2-4 on target); possession 42%-58%; corners 5-1.

Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 0-1 in the second.

Standout players

Goal scorers: E. Daskevics.

How the model did

There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.

Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): BFC Daugavpils 28%, draw 25%, Auda 47%.

Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.

Match summary

BFC Daugavpils vs Auda (Virsliga matchday 15, 26 May 2026) finished 0-1. Goals: E. Daskevics 82'. Match stats: possession BFC Daugavpils 42%, Auda 58%; shots on target 2-4.

Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record

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