BFA 1-2 Žalgiris II
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Line-ups and absences
usually −60 minMatch analysis
5 sections22:53BFA lost to Žalgiris II 1-2 in the 1 Lyga matchday 26 on 9 October 2026.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-1 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. BFA scored first, in the 1st minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 1' D. Misiunas → 1-0; 39' V. Berenta (penalty) → 1-1; 66' V. Berenta → 1-2.
Statistical comparison
Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 0-1 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: D. Misiunas, V. Berenta.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): BFA 46%, draw 24%, Žalgiris II 30%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
BFA vs Žalgiris II (1 Lyga matchday 26, 9 October 2026) finished 1-2. Goals: D. Misiunas 1', V. Berenta 39' (pen), V. Berenta 66'.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.