BFA 1-0 Jonava
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Line-ups and absences
usually −60 minMatch analysis
5 sections01:3030 May 2026: the 1 Lyga matchday 12 match ended BFA 1-0 Jonava.
Read more ›Close
Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. BFA scored first, in the 90th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 90' Z. Jurevicius → 1-0.
Statistical comparison
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: Z. Jurevicius.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): BFA 51%, draw 26%, Jonava 23%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
BFA beat Jonava 1-0 in the 1 Lyga matchday 12 on 30 May 2026. Goals: Z. Jurevicius 90'.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.