Be1 NFA 3-1 BFA
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Line-ups and absences
usually −60 minMatch analysis
5 sections14:1713 March 2026: the 1 Lyga matchday 2 match ended Be1 NFA 3-1 BFA.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-1 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. BFA scored first, in the 32nd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 32' J. Gerbutavicius → 0-1; 36' T. Gudaitis → 1-1; 47' S. Chyzhyk → 2-1; 56' T. Gudaitis → 3-1.
Statistical comparison
Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 2-0 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: J. Gerbutavicius, T. Gudaitis, S. Chyzhyk.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Be1 NFA 36%, draw 27%, BFA 37%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Be1 NFA beat BFA 3-1 in the 1 Lyga matchday 2 on 13 March 2026. Goals: J. Gerbutavicius 32', T. Gudaitis 36', S. Chyzhyk 47', T. Gudaitis 56'.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.