Barnet 3-2 Oldham
League Two · Matchweek 28Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: K. Tshimanga 8.7 · R. Glover 7.9 · T. Pett 7.9
Match analysis
5 sections22:40Barnet beat Oldham 3-2 in the League Two matchday 28 on 24 January 2026.
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Result and story of the match
It was 2-1 at half-time. Oldham scored first, in the 11th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 11' T. Pett, assisted by J. Garner → 0-1; 36' R. Glover → 1-1; 45' K. Tshimanga (penalty) → 2-1; 69' J. Stevens, assisted by J. Garner → 2-2; 87' K. Tshimanga → 3-2.
Nikola Tavares (Barnet) was sent off in the 64th minute; yellow cards: Barnet 3, Oldham 1.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Barnet 1.48, Oldham 1.50; shots 5-9 (4-5 on target); possession 52%-48%; corners 1-6; pass accuracy 64%-63%.
Goals by half: 2-1 in the first, 1-1 in the second.
Standout players
K. Tshimanga was Barnet's highest-rated player at 8.7 in 90 minutes: 2 goals, 2 shots on target, won 2 of 5 duels.
T. Pett was Oldham's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 60 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 2 tackles, won 4 of 5 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
24 January 2026: the League Two matchday 28 match ended Barnet 3-2 Oldham. Goals: T. Pett 11', R. Glover 36', K. Tshimanga 45' (pen), J. Stevens 69', K. Tshimanga 87'. Match stats: possession Barnet 52%, Oldham 48%; shots on target 4-5; expected goals (xG) 1.48-1.50.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.