Bari 3-1 Modena
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: L. Chichizola 8.7 · G. Ambrosino 8.3 · M. Cerofolini 8.2
Match analysis
5 sections05:536 April 2026: the Serie B matchday 33 match ended Bari 3-1 Modena.
Read more ›Close
Result and story of the match
It was 2-0 at half-time. Bari scored first, in the 22nd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 22' G. Moncini (penalty) → 1-0; 31' D. Adorni (own goal) → 1-1; 80' M. Cuni, assisted by M. Dorval → 2-1; 90' G. Ambrosino, assisted by G. Beyuku → 2-2.
VAR intervened 2 times; yellow cards: Bari 2, Modena 2.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Bari 2.22, Modena 1.31; shots 12-19 (8-6 on target); possession 38%-62%; corners 4-7; pass accuracy 71%-81%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 0.91.
Goals by half: 2-0 in the first, 1-1 in the second.
Standout players
M. Cerofolini was Bari's highest-rated player at 8.2 in 90 minutes: 1 key pass, 4 saves.
L. Chichizola was Modena's highest-rated player at 8.7 in 90 minutes: 6 saves.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Bari vs Modena (Serie B matchday 33, 6 April 2026) finished 3-1. Goals: G. Moncini 22' (pen), D. Adorni 31' (o.g.), M. Cuni 80', G. Ambrosino 90'. Match stats: possession Bari 38%, Modena 62%; shots on target 8-6; expected goals (xG) 2.22-1.31.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.