Baltika 2-3 Dynamo
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: N. Moumi Ngamaleu 8.2 · K. Tyukavin 8.2 · K. Kaplenko 7.9
Match analysis
5 sections12:15Baltika lost to Dynamo 2-3 in the Premier League matchday 28 on 11 May 2024.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-1 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Dynamo scored first, in the 3rd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 3' K. Tyukavin, assisted by M. Ngamaleu → 0-1; 32' Á. Henríquez, assisted by D. Rybchinskiy → 1-1; 68' K. Kaplenko, assisted by V. Lisakovich → 2-1; 90+3' R. Fernández, assisted by D. Fomin → 2-2; 90+9' M. Ngamaleu, assisted by K. Tyukavin → 2-3.
VAR intervened 1 time; yellow cards: Baltika 0, Dynamo 4.
Statistical comparison
Shots 14-19 (2-7 on target); possession 48%-52%; corners 3-2; pass accuracy 76%-77%.
Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 1-2 in the second.
Standout players
K. Kaplenko was Baltika's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 2 key passes, 1 tackle, won 4 of 8 duels.
N. Moumi Ngamaleu was Dynamo's highest-rated player at 8.2 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 assist, 2 shots on target, 4 key passes, 2 tackles, won 5 of 14 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
11 May 2024: the Premier League matchday 28 match ended Baltika 2-3 Dynamo. Goals: K. Tyukavin 3', Á. Henríquez 32', K. Kaplenko 68', R. Fernández 90+3', M. Ngamaleu 90+9'. Match stats: possession Baltika 48%, Dynamo 52%; shots on target 2-7.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology




Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.