Aurora 3-2 ABB
Primera División · Apertura - 11Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Standouts: R. Ramallo 9.0 · Felipe Fajardo Juan 8.5 · J. Torrico 7.7
Match analysis
5 sections18:05Aurora beat ABB 3-2 in the Primera División on 24 July 2026.
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Result and story of the match
It was 2-1 at half-time. Aurora scored first, in the 21st minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 21' J. Torrico → 1-0; 34' J. F. Fajardo (penalty) → 1-1; 45' R. Ramallo (penalty) → 2-1; 47' J. Riasco, assisted by J. F. Fajardo → 2-2; 69' A. Terrazas, assisted by R. Ramallo → 3-2.
Rubén Cordano (Aurora) was sent off in the 85th minute; Jean Riascos (ABB) was sent off in the 90th minute; Rodderyck Perozo missed a penalty in the 90th minute; VAR intervened 3 times; yellow cards: Aurora 5, ABB 4.
Statistical comparison
Shots 15-8 (4-3 on target); possession 64%-36%; corners 3-4; pass accuracy 83%-69%.
Goals by half: 2-1 in the first, 1-1 in the second.
Standout players
R. Ramallo was Aurora's highest-rated player at 9.0 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 assist, 1 shot on target, 5 key passes, won 2 of 5 duels.
Felipe Fajardo Juan was ABB's highest-rated player at 8.5 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 assist, 1 shot on target, 3 key passes, 1 tackle, won 3 of 7 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Aurora 72%, draw 16%, ABB 12%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
24 July 2026: the Primera División match ended Aurora 3-2 ABB. Goals: J. Torrico 21', J. F. Fajardo 34' (pen), R. Ramallo 45' (pen), J. Riasco 47', A. Terrazas 69'. Match stats: possession Aurora 64%, ABB 36%; shots on target 4-3.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.