Auda 1-2 Riga
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Starting XIs
Line-ups ›Match analysis
5 sections10:26Auda lost to Riga 1-2 in the Virsliga matchday 3 on 20 March 2026.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-1 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Riga scored first, in the 1st minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 1' A. Salazar, assisted by A. Cernomordijs → 0-1; 19' J. Vergara (penalty) → 1-1; 90' M. Badamosi, assisted by R. Aouani → 1-2.
Yellow cards: Auda 6, Riga 3.
Statistical comparison
Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 0-1 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: A. Salazar, J. Vergara, M. Badamosi.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Auda 17%, draw 25%, Riga 58%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Auda lost to Riga 1-2 in the Virsliga matchday 3 on 20 March 2026. Goals: A. Salazar 1', J. Vergara 19' (pen), M. Badamosi 90'.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.