Aucas 1-2 Macara
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Standouts: A. Campana 8.9 · A. Preciado 7.5 · F. Posse 7.5
Match analysis
5 sections16:1119 September 2026: the Liga Pro match ended Aucas 1-2 Macara.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-1 at half-time. Macara scored first, in the 45th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 45' F. Posse, assisted by A. I. Campana → 0-1; 55' A. I. Campana, assisted by F. Posse → 0-2; 90' E. Preciado (penalty) → 1-2.
J. Estacio (Macara) was sent off in the 87th minute; yellow cards: Aucas 0, Macara 4.
Statistical comparison
Shots 13-9 (1-4 on target); possession 66%-34%; corners 6-1; pass accuracy 88%-71%.
Goals by half: 0-1 in the first, 1-1 in the second.
Standout players
A. Preciado was Aucas's highest-rated player at 7.5 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 2 key passes, 1 tackle, won 4 of 9 duels.
A. Campana was Macara's highest-rated player at 8.9 in 77 minutes: 1 goal, 1 assist, 1 shot on target, 4 key passes, won 6 of 8 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Aucas 43%, draw 28%, Macara 29%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Aucas lost to Macara 1-2 in the Liga Pro on 19 September 2026. Goals: F. Posse 45', A. I. Campana 55', E. Preciado 90' (pen). Match stats: possession Aucas 66%, Macara 34%; shots on target 1-4.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.