Atalanta 3-0 Parma
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: G. Mancini 9.0 · J. Iličić 8.8 · J. Palomino 8.5
Match analysis
5 sections18:5027 October 2018: the Serie A matchday 10 match ended Atalanta 3-0 Parma.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Parma scored first, in the 55th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 55' R. Gagliolo (own goal) → 0-1; 72' J. Palomino, assisted by G. Mancini → 1-1; 80' G. Mancini, assisted by J. Iličić → 2-1.
Yellow cards: Atalanta 0, Parma 2.
Statistical comparison
Shots 30-14 (12-2 on target); possession 66%-34%; corners 6-6; pass accuracy 85%-70%.
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 3-0 in the second.
Standout players
G. Mancini was Atalanta's highest-rated player at 9.0 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 assist, 2 shots on target, 2 key passes, 1 tackle, won 8 of 9 duels.
L. Sepe was Parma's highest-rated player at 8.4 in 90 minutes: 10 saves.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
27 October 2018: the Serie A matchday 10 match ended Atalanta 3-0 Parma. Goals: R. Gagliolo 55' (o.g.), J. Palomino 72', G. Mancini 80'. Match stats: possession Atalanta 66%, Parma 34%; shots on target 12-2.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.