Atalanta 0-1 Inter
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: M. Carnesecchi 7.7 · C. De Ketelaere 7.3 · Y. Bisseck 7.3
Match analysis
5 sections22:22Atalanta lost to Inter 0-1 in the Serie A matchday 17 on 28 December 2025.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Inter scored first, in the 65th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 65' L. Martinez, assisted by F. Esposito → 0-1.
VAR intervened 1 time; yellow cards: Atalanta 2, Inter 1.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Atalanta 0.80, Inter 1.12; shots 7-15 (0-4 on target); possession 45%-55%; corners 4-7; pass accuracy 84%-87%.
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 0-1 in the second.
Standout players
M. Carnesecchi was Atalanta's highest-rated player at 7.7 in 90 minutes: 3 saves, won 1 of 1 duels.
Lautaro Martínez was Inter's highest-rated player at 7.3 in 84 minutes: 1 goal, 2 shots on target, 1 key pass, 2 tackles, won 6 of 13 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
28 December 2025: the Serie A matchday 17 match ended Atalanta 0-1 Inter. Goals: L. Martinez 65'. Match stats: possession Atalanta 45%, Inter 55%; shots on target 0-4; expected goals (xG) 0.80-1.12.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.