Atalanta 0-2 Inter
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: F. Acerbi 8.2 · Lautaro Martínez 8.0 · Carlos Augusto 7.9
Match analysis
5 sections23:4316 March 2025: the Serie A matchday 29 match ended Atalanta 0-2 Inter.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Inter scored first, in the 54th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 54' Carlos Augusto, assisted by H. Çalhanoğlu → 0-1; 87' L. Martínez, assisted by N. Barella → 0-2.
Éderson (Atalanta) was sent off in the 81st minute; Alessandro Bastoni (Inter) was sent off in the 90th minute; yellow cards: Atalanta 2, Inter 3.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Atalanta 0.66, Inter 2.39; shots 16-14 (3-5 on target); possession 50%-50%; corners 2-6; pass accuracy 82%-83%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 1.73.
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 0-2 in the second.
Standout players
A. Lookman was Atalanta's highest-rated player at 7.3 in 83 minutes: 5 key passes, 2 tackles, won 5 of 9 duels.
F. Acerbi was Inter's highest-rated player at 8.2 in 90 minutes: 1 tackle, won 7 of 10 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
16 March 2025: the Serie A matchday 29 match ended Atalanta 0-2 Inter. Goals: Carlos Augusto 54', L. Martínez 87'. Match stats: possession Atalanta 50%, Inter 50%; shots on target 3-5; expected goals (xG) 0.66-2.39.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.