Aston Villa 4-2 Nottingham Forest
Full-time analysis
5 sections07:25Aston Villa beat Nottingham Forest 4-2 in the Premier League matchday 26 on 24 February 2024.
Result and story of the match
It was 3-1 at half-time. Aston Villa scored first, in the 4th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 4' O. Watkins, assisted by L. Bailey → 1-0; 29' Douglas Luiz, assisted by J. Ramsey → 2-0; 39' Douglas Luiz, assisted by J. McGinn → 3-0; 45+5' M. Niakhaté, assisted by T. Awoniyi → 3-1; 48' M. Gibbs-White, assisted by D. Origi → 3-2; 61' L. Bailey → 4-2.
Yellow cards: Aston Villa 1, Nottingham Forest 2.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Aston Villa 3.57, Nottingham Forest 2.56; shots 16-10 (6-3 on target); possession 58%-42%; corners 7-2; pass accuracy 92%-86%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 1.01.
Goals by half: 3-1 in the first, 1-1 in the second.
Standout players
Douglas Luiz was Aston Villa's highest-rated player at 8.3 in 90 minutes: 2 goals, 2 shots on target, 2 tackles, won 6 of 13 duels.
D. Origi was Nottingham Forest's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 45 minutes: 1 assist, 3 key passes, 1 tackle, won 3 of 6 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Aston Villa 4–2 Nottingham ForestChance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 1.01.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
All match events
19 eventsMatch summary
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest (Premier League matchday 26, 24 February 2024) finished 4-2. Goals: O. Watkins 4', Douglas Luiz 29', Douglas Luiz 39', M. Niakhaté 45+5', M. Gibbs-White 48', L. Bailey 61'. Match stats: possession Aston Villa 58%, Nottingham Forest 42%; shots on target 6-3; expected goals (xG) 3.57-2.56.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology






