ASPAC 2-4 Panthers
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Line-ups and absences
usually −60 minMatch analysis
4 sections22:1816 September 2026: the CAF Confederation Cup match ended ASPAC 2-4 Panthers.
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Result and story of the match
It was 2-2 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. ASPAC scored first, in the 28th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 28' unknown player → 1-0; 32' unknown player → 1-1; 45' unknown player → 1-2; 45' unknown player → 2-2; 66' unknown player → 2-3; 75' unknown player → 2-4.
Statistical comparison
Goals by half: 2-2 in the first, 0-2 in the second.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): ASPAC 81%, draw 13%, Panthers 6%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
ASPAC lost to Panthers 2-4 in the CAF Confederation Cup on 16 September 2026.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.