AS Roma 2-2 Inter
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Standouts: M. Koné 9.2 · Lautaro Martínez 8.6 · P. Dybala 8.2
Match analysis
5 sections15:1919 September 2026: the Serie A matchday 5 match ended AS Roma 2-2 Inter.
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Result and story of the match
It was 2-0 at half-time. Inter levelled after the break. AS Roma scored first, in the 6th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 6' M. Kone, assisted by N. Molina → 1-0; 37' M. Kone, assisted by G. Mancini → 2-0; 46' L. Martinez, assisted by M. Thuram → 2-1; 79' L. Martinez → 2-2.
VAR intervened 1 time; yellow cards: AS Roma 3, Inter 3.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) AS Roma 1.66, Inter 2.86; shots 18-16 (4-5 on target); possession 49%-51%; corners 4-2; pass accuracy 84%-86%.
Inter created the better chances, but the scoreline did not reflect it.
Goals by half: 2-0 in the first, 0-2 in the second.
Standout players
M. Koné was AS Roma's highest-rated player at 9.2 in 60 minutes: 2 goals, 2 shots on target, won 2 of 4 duels.
Lautaro Martínez was Inter's highest-rated player at 8.6 in 89 minutes: 2 goals, 2 shots on target, 2 key passes, 2 tackles, won 3 of 5 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): AS Roma 34%, draw 26%, Inter 41%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
AS Roma drew with Inter 2-2 in the Serie A matchday 5 on 19 September 2026. Goals: M. Kone 6', M. Kone 37', L. Martinez 46', L. Martinez 79'. Match stats: possession AS Roma 49%, Inter 51%; shots on target 4-5; expected goals (xG) 1.66-2.86.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.