Arouca 1-0 Maritimo
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: I. de Arruabarrena 8.3 · David Simão 8.0 · Quaresma 7.9
Match analysis
5 sections11:22Arouca beat Maritimo 1-0 in the Primeira Liga matchday 27 on 8 April 2023.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Arouca scored first, in the 34th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 34' Rafa Mújica, assisted by Tiago Esgaio → 1-0.
Yellow cards: Arouca 2, Maritimo 2.
Statistical comparison
Shots 11-15 (2-6 on target); possession 51%-49%; corners 7-11; pass accuracy 82%-83%.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 0-0 in the second.
Standout players
I. de Arruabarrena was Arouca's highest-rated player at 8.3 in 90 minutes: 6 saves, won 1 of 1 duels.
Bruno Xadas was Maritimo's highest-rated player at 7.3 in 90 minutes: 4 key passes.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Arouca beat Maritimo 1-0 in the Primeira Liga matchday 27 on 8 April 2023. Goals: Rafa Mújica 34'. Match stats: possession Arouca 51%, Maritimo 49%; shots on target 2-6.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.