Arouca 1-0 Estoril
Model accuracy
Match stats
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Line-ups ›Match analysis
5 sections12:16Arouca beat Estoril 1-0 in the Primeira Liga matchday 16 on 6 January 2016.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Arouca scored first, in the 19th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 19' David Simão (penalty) → 1-0.
Diego Carlos (Estoril) was sent off in the 58th minute; yellow cards: Arouca 5, Estoril 3.
Statistical comparison
Shots 11-8 (4-2 on target); possession 52%-48%; corners 6-7.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 0-0 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: David Simão.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Arouca beat Estoril 1-0 in the Primeira Liga matchday 16 on 6 January 2016. Goals: David Simão 19' (pen). Match stats: possession Arouca 52%, Estoril 48%; shots on target 4-2.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.