Arnedo 1-2 Ebro
Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · Group 2 - 5Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Starting XIs
Line-ups ›Match analysis
5 sections12:21Arnedo lost to Ebro 1-2 in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 on 4 October 2026.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Arnedo scored first, in the 70th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 70' U. Garde → 1-0; 82' S. Emana → 1-1; 90' S. Fillouche → 1-2.
Statistical comparison
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 1-2 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: U. Garde, S. Emana, S. Fillouche.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Arnedo 18%, draw 23%, Ebro 59%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
4 October 2026: the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 match ended Arnedo 1-2 Ebro. Goals: U. Garde 70', S. Emana 82', S. Fillouche 90'.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.