Ankaragücü 3-1 Kasımpaşa
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: Pedrinho 8.5 · H. Hajradinović 7.6 · R. Bajić 7.3
Match analysis
5 sections04:5513 January 2024: the Süper Lig matchday 20 match ended Ankaragücü 3-1 Kasımpaşa.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-1 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Kasımpaşa scored first, in the 35th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 35' A. Kara, assisted by H. Hajradinović → 0-1; 45+1' N. Mujakić, assisted by Pedrinho → 1-1; 64' R. Bajić, assisted by R. Cephas → 2-1; 83' Pedrinho → 3-1.
VAR intervened 1 time; yellow cards: Ankaragücü 1, Kasımpaşa 1.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Ankaragücü 2.33, Kasımpaşa 1.47; shots 12-16 (8-2 on target); possession 36%-64%; corners 2-5; pass accuracy 68%-82%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 0.86.
Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 2-0 in the second.
Standout players
Pedrinho was Ankaragücü's highest-rated player at 8.5 in 87 minutes: 1 goal, 1 assist, 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, 3 tackles, won 6 of 12 duels.
H. Hajradinović was Kasımpaşa's highest-rated player at 7.6 in 86 minutes: 1 assist, 3 key passes, 2 tackles, won 5 of 6 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
13 January 2024: the Süper Lig matchday 20 match ended Ankaragücü 3-1 Kasımpaşa. Goals: A. Kara 35', N. Mujakić 45+1', R. Bajić 64', Pedrinho 83'. Match stats: possession Ankaragücü 36%, Kasımpaşa 64%; shots on target 8-2; expected goals (xG) 2.33-1.47.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.