Amazonas 1-2 Vila Nova
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: João Lucas 7.9 · Matheus Serafim 7.7 · Emerson Urso 7.7
Match analysis
5 sections15:479 July 2024: the Serie B matchday 14 match ended Amazonas 1-2 Vila Nova.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Vila Nova came from behind in the second half to win. Amazonas scored first, in the 17th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 17' Rafael Tavares, assisted by Matheus Serafim → 1-0; 52' Henrique Almeida, assisted by Ralf → 1-1; 64' Emerson Urso, assisted by Juan Christian → 1-2.
Yellow cards: Amazonas 4, Vila Nova 0.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Amazonas 1.31, Vila Nova 0.99; shots 20-14 (5-5 on target); possession 60%-40%; corners 16-4; pass accuracy 83%-73%.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 0-2 in the second.
Standout players
Matheus Serafim was Amazonas's highest-rated player at 7.7 in 90 minutes: 1 assist, 1 shot on target, 3 key passes, 2 tackles, won 8 of 10 duels.
João Lucas was Vila Nova's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, 2 tackles, won 10 of 11 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
9 July 2024: the Serie B matchday 14 match ended Amazonas 1-2 Vila Nova. Goals: Rafael Tavares 17', Henrique Almeida 52', Emerson Urso 64'. Match stats: possession Amazonas 60%, Vila Nova 40%; shots on target 5-5; expected goals (xG) 1.31-0.99.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.