Amazonas 1-1 Ceara
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: David Ricardo 7.9 · Erick Varão 7.6 · Matheus Serafim 7.5
Match analysis
5 sections12:07Amazonas drew with Ceara 1-1 in the Serie B matchday 24 on 1 September 2024.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Ceara levelled after the break. Amazonas scored first, in the 8th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 8' Erick Varão, assisted by Matheus Serafim → 1-0; 87' J. Recalde, assisted by Aylon → 1-1.
Miranda (Amazonas) was sent off in the 72nd minute; yellow cards: Amazonas 4, Ceara 1.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Amazonas 0.85, Ceara 1.21; shots 11-13 (5-3 on target); possession 39%-61%; corners 1-7; pass accuracy 76%-85%.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 0-1 in the second.
Standout players
Erick Varão was Amazonas's highest-rated player at 7.6 in 89 minutes: 1 goal, 2 shots on target, 1 key pass, 1 tackle, won 3 of 4 duels.
David Ricardo was Ceara's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 1 key pass, 1 tackle, won 2 of 2 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Amazonas vs Ceara (Serie B matchday 24, 1 September 2024) finished 1-1. Goals: Erick Varão 8', J. Recalde 87'. Match stats: possession Amazonas 39%, Ceara 61%; shots on target 5-3; expected goals (xG) 0.85-1.21.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.