Alianza 2-2 Inter
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Line-ups and absences
usually −60 minMatch analysis
5 sections02:19Alianza drew with Inter 2-2 in the Primera Division on 11 October 2026.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Inter levelled after the break. Alianza scored first, in the 8th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 8' H. Osorio → 1-0; 51' M. Mier → 2-0; 53' K. Molina → 2-1; 90+8' M. Hernandez → 2-2.
C. Guardado (Inter) was sent off in the 83rd minute.
Statistical comparison
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 1-2 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: H. Osorio, M. Mier, K. Molina, M. Hernandez.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Alianza 53%, draw 26%, Inter 21%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Alianza vs Inter (Primera Division, 11 October 2026) finished 2-2. Goals: H. Osorio 8', M. Mier 51', K. Molina 53', M. Hernandez 90+8'.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.