Ajax 2-0 Heracles
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: S. Berghuis 9.2 · F. de Keijzer 8.3 · Y. Baas 8.0
Match analysis
5 sections03:16Ajax beat Heracles 2-0 in the Eredivisie matchday 3 on 24 August 2025.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Ajax scored first, in the 31st minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 31' S. Berghuis → 1-0; 87' W. Weghorst, assisted by D. Klaassen → 2-0.
VAR intervened 1 time; yellow cards: Ajax 0, Heracles 2.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Ajax 2.67, Heracles 0.16; shots 27-4 (10-0 on target); possession 66%-34%; corners 10-1; pass accuracy 90%-76%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 2.51.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
S. Berghuis was Ajax's highest-rated player at 9.2 in 63 minutes: 1 goal, 2 shots on target, 4 key passes, 1 tackle, won 5 of 5 duels.
F. de Keijzer was Heracles's highest-rated player at 8.3 in 90 minutes: 7 saves.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Ajax beat Heracles 2-0 in the Eredivisie matchday 3 on 24 August 2025. Goals: S. Berghuis 31', W. Weghorst 87'. Match stats: possession Ajax 66%, Heracles 34%; shots on target 10-0; expected goals (xG) 2.67-0.16.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.