Ajax 4-1 Heracles
Eredivisie · Matchweek 1
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: S. Bergwijn 8.9 · M. Brouwer 8.6 · J. Medić 8.3
Match analysis
5 sections14:42Ajax beat Heracles 4-1 in the Eredivisie matchday 1 on 12 August 2023.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-1 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Heracles scored first, in the 45th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 45+5' M. Engels → 0-1; 45+8' J. Medić, assisted by J. Hato → 1-1; 75' M. Kudus, assisted by B. Tahirović → 2-1; 85' S. Bergwijn, assisted by A. Salah-Eddine → 3-1; 90+6' S. Bergwijn (penalty) → 4-1.
VAR intervened 1 time; yellow cards: Ajax 2, Heracles 5.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Ajax 3.53, Heracles 0.89; shots 31-7 (13-2 on target); possession 70%-30%; corners 13-4; pass accuracy 89%-70%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 2.64.
Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 3-0 in the second.
Standout players
S. Bergwijn was Ajax's highest-rated player at 8.9 in 90 minutes: 2 goals, 2 shots on target, 1 key pass, 2 tackles, won 6 of 13 duels.
M. Brouwer was Heracles's highest-rated player at 8.6 in 90 minutes: 9 saves.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Ajax beat Heracles 4-1 in the Eredivisie matchday 1 on 12 August 2023. Goals: M. Engels 45+5', J. Medić 45+8', M. Kudus 75', S. Bergwijn 85', S. Bergwijn 90+6' (pen). Match stats: possession Ajax 70%, Heracles 30%; shots on target 13-2; expected goals (xG) 3.53-0.89.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.